Summary
Food and grocery accounted for 70.7% of total market retail sales in 2015. From IDR2,345,670 billion in 2015, the food and grocery retail market is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 10.38% over the forecast period, to reach IDR3,843,239 billion by 2020. Rising disposable income, an ongoing trend of rapid urbanization, the rapid adoption of healthy food, and increasing competition among retailers will transform consumer consumption patterns.
Key Findings
- Food and Grocery accounts for a major portion of domestic consumption in the country.
- A growing young population with increasing working hours is looking for convenient and healthy foods.
- As the sector is witnessing robust growth, many foreign retailers are planning to invest in the country, especially Japanese companies.
- Sales through online channel are expected to grow at a CAGR of 25.53% during 2015-2020
Synopsis
“Food and Grocery Retailing in Indonesia - Market Summary and Forecasts” is a detailed sector report providing a comprehensive analysis of the emerging trends, forecasts and opportunities to 2020.
What else does this report offer?
- A thorough analysis of consumer trends changing economic and population factors
- Both qualitative and quantitative insights and analysis of the shifting food and grocery retail dynamics for drinks, household products, packaged food, tobacco and unpackaged food from 2010 to 2020
- Sales of food and grocery products through the following channels from 2010 to 2020: Hypermarkets, supermarkets and hard-discounters; food and drinks specialists; convenience stores (including Independents) and gas stations; cash and carries and warehouse clubs; other general and non-specialist direct retailers; value, variety stores and general merchandise retailers; online; drug stores and health and beauty stores; vending machines; duty free retailers; department stores; other specialist retailers
- An overview of key food and grocery retailers operating across Indonesia and their presence across distribution channels
Reasons To Buy
- Gain a comprehensive knowledge on food and grocery sector in the Indonesia retail market and develop a competitive advantage from the start of your supply chain
- Investigate current and forecast behaviour trends in food and grocery category to identify the best opportunities to exploit
- Analyze the recommended actions to align your marketing strategies with the crucial trends influencing the consumer behavior
- Understand the fastest growing categories including drinks, household products, packaged food, unpackaged food and tobacco in the market, with insights on performance across key channels from 2010, with forecasts until 2020
- Explore novel opportunities that will allow you to align your product offerings and strategies to meet demand by analyzing the vital economic and population trends, key consumer and technology trends influencing the food and grocery market
- Analysis of key international and domestic players operating in the food and grocery market - including store counts and revenues that give you a competitive edge - identify opportunities to improve your market share
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1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
2 Executive Summary and Outlook
3 Market Context
3.1 A growing economy offers new opportunities to retailers
3.1.1 Retail sales recorded healthy growth despite recession
3.1.2 Indonesians spend more than they save
3.1.3 Services sector continues to be the major sector for employment
3.1.4 Volatile inflation levels will influence retail sales growth
3.1.5 Rise in consumption expenditure a positive sign for retailers
3.1.6 Increasing urbanization offers growth opportunities for retailers
3.2 Declining population growth rates may have a mild impact on retailing
4 Indonesian Shoppers
4.1 Online shopping has become order of the day
4.2 Rapid urbanization will fuel retail sales in the country
4.3 Shopping malls have become prime locations for retailing
5 Doing Business in Indonesia
5.1 Summary
5.1.1 Bureaucracy
5.1.2 Infrastructure and logistics
5.2 Latest business reforms in Indonesia
5.3 Indonesia eases rules for foreign investors
5.4 Business culture
6 Retail - Product Sectors
6.1 Product Sector Analysis
6.1.1 Food and Grocery
6.4 Major Retailers
7 Appendix
7.1 Definitions
7.1.1 This report provides 2015 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2016-2020
7.2 Summary Methodology
7.2.1 Overview
7.2.2 The triangulated market sizing method
7.2.3 Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data
7.2.4 Quality control and standardized processes
7.3 About Verdict Retail
7.4 Disclaimer
Table 1: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 2: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 3: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 4: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 5: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Segmentation (% value), by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Table 6: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales (IDR bn), by Category 2010-2015
Table 7: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (IDR bn), by Category 2015-2020
Table 8: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Category, 2010-2015
Table 9: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (IDR bn), by Category 2015-2020
Table 10: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Segmentation (% value), by Category, 2010-2020
Table 11: Indonesia Drinks Retail Sales (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 12: Indonesia Drinks Retail Sales Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 13: Indonesia Drinks Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 14: Indonesia Drinks Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 15: Indonesia Drinks Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Table 16: Indonesia Household Products Retail Sales (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 17: Indonesia Household Products Retail Sales Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 18: Indonesia Household Products Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 19: Indonesia Household Products Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 20: Indonesia Household Products Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Table 21: Indonesia Packaged Food Retail Sales (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 22: Indonesia Packaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 23: Indonesia Packaged Food Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 24: Indonesia Packaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 25: Indonesia Packaged Food Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Table 26: Indonesia Tobacco Retail Sales (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 27: Indonesia Tobacco Retail Sales Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 28: Indonesia Tobacco Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 29: Indonesia Tobacco Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 30: Indonesia Tobacco Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Table 31: Indonesia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 32: Indonesia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2015-2020
Table 33: Indonesia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2010-2015
Table 34: Indonesia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel, 2015-2020
Table 35: Indonesia Unpackaged Food Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Table 36: Key Food and Grocery Retailers in Indonesia
Table 37: Indonesia Exchange Rate IDR-USD (Annual Average), 2010-2015
Table 38: Indonesia Exchange Rate IDR-USD (Annual Average), 2016-2020 Forecasts
Table 39: Verdict Retail Channel Definitions
Table 40: Verdict Retail Category Definitions
Figure 1: GDP Value (US$ billion), 2010-2015
Figure 2: Growth Rate of GDP (US$ billion, %), 2010-2015
Figure 3: GDP Value and Growth (IDR billion, %), 2010-2015
Figure 4: Forecasts for GDP Value and Growth (IDR billion, %), 2015-2020
Figure 5: Gross Domestic Savings Rate (% of GDP), 2005-2015
Figure 6: Share of Employment by Sector (%), 2005 and 2015
Figure 7: Unemployment Rate (%), 2005-2015
Figure 8: Inflation Growth Rates (%), 2005-2015
Figure 9: Household Consumption Expenditure of Indonesia (IDR billion), 2005 and 2015E
Figure 10: Household Consumption Expenditure of Major Countries (US$ billion), 2015
Figure 11: Growth of Household Consumption Expenditure (US$, %), 2005-2015
Figure 12: Rural and Urban Populations (millions) 2005, 2015, and 2020
Figure 13: Total Population and Growth Rate (Millions, %), 2005-2020
Figure 14: Population Split by Gender (%), 2015 and 2020E
Figure 15: Population Split by Age Group (%), 2015 and 2020
Figure 16: Per Capita Spend on Retail (IDR), 2007 and 2015
Figure 17: Per Capita Spend (IDR) and Total Retail Spend by Age Group (%), 2007 and 2015
Figure 18: online shoppers in the country
Figure 19: Aeon's shopping mall in Jakarta
Figure 20: Key Components of Doing Business in Indonesia
Figure 21: Share of Food and Grocery in overall Retail 2015 and 2020
Figure 22: Retail Sales Value and Growth (IDR billion, %) of Food and Grocery 2015-2020
Figure 23: Spend per Head on Food and Grocery 2015 and 2020
Figure 24: Online Spend in Food and Grocery 2015-2020
Figure 25: Online Share of total Food and Grocery Spend 2015 and 2020
Figure 26: Spending per Channel in Food and Grocery (%) 2015 and 2020
Figure 27: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales and Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Figure 28: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Market Dynamics, by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Figure 29: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Sales and Forecast (IDR bn), by Category 2010-2020
Figure 30: Indonesia Food and Grocery Retail Market Dynamics, by Category 2010-2020
Figure 31: Indonesia Drinks Retail Sales and Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Figure 32: Indonesia Household Products Retail Sales and Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Figure 33: Indonesia Packaged Food Retail Sales and Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Figure 34: Indonesia Tobacco Retail Sales and Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Figure 35: Indonesia Unpackaged Food Retail Sales and Forecast (IDR bn), by Channel Group, 2010-2020
Figure 36: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology
Indomaret
Alfamart
Alfamidi
Circle K
Giant
Transmart Carrefour
Hypermart
Starmart
Foodmart
Lawson
Lotte Mart
Hero
